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Geodata journalism. Mapping stories on water issues in the Nile Basin.

Nairobi Might Head the Cape Town Way, Says Assessment by Down To Earth Magazine

Thursday March 22nd, 2018

Centre for Science and Environment (CSE)
March 21, 2018

Warning bells have been sounded by Down To Earth, the magazine that Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) helps publish, on this year’s World Water Day (today) – many of the world’s leading cities will see Cape Town-like water crisis in the not too distant future. The magazine is carrying an exclusive assessment in its latest issue.

In 2015, Cape Town, one of Africa’s richest cities, had bagged the C40 Cities Awards for its Water Conservation and Water Demand Programme. By 2017-18, the city was in the throes of an unprecedented water shortage. It is estimated that the city’s taps will run dry this year, within the next few months.

How did this happen? Cape Town relies on rainwater to fill up its six reservoirs, and below average rainfall from 2015-17 has contributed to the drying up of these reservoirs. In fact, the Western Cape region where Cape Town is situated has been undergoing a massive drying up process – a process linked to climate change — since 2015.

But Cape Town is not alone as it waits for Day Zero.
Down To Earth’s analysis shows that at least 200 cities across the world are fast running out of water and 10 metropolitan cities are moving quickly towards Day Zero.

Bengaluru, in India, is one of them
• The number of waterbodies in Bengaluru has reduced by 79 per cent due to unplanned urbanization and encroachment – while built-up are has increased from 8 per cent in 1973 to 77 per cent now.
• The water table has shrunk from 10-12 metres (m) to 76-91 m in just two decades.
• The number of extraction wells has gone up from 5,000 to 0.45 million in just 30 years.
• The city only uses half of its treatment capacity to treat waste and a substantial amount is dumped into its waterbodies.
• Bengaluru’s population might reach 20.3 million by 2031 – and is growing by 3.5 per cent annually.

Other cities on the verge of an imminent water crisis include:
Beijing, China: Though more than 200 rivers and streams can still be found on the arid city’s official maps, they have all dried up. For the past three decades, the city has survived by digging, boring and drilling groundwater. But hydrologists warn that groundwater is depleting at a rate of 1 metre per year and becoming polluted.

Mexico City, Mexico: 700 years ago, the Aztecs had built a city of floating gardens, known as the “Venice of the New World”. Over the years, the lakes that once filled the plains have been steadily drained by settlers. The lake beds now remain covered by grey sea of concrete, tarmac and steel, forcing the city to source its supplies by pumping water from hundreds of metres underground or from a distance of over 100 kilometres.

Moreover, the devastating floods of 2013 have contaminated groundwater and extraction wells in the city. And while over-extraction of groundwater has caused the city’s soft base to sink at 40 cm per year, transporting billions of litres to the megalopolis at 2,400 metres above the sea level through seismically active mountains is fraught with danger.

Sanaa, Yemen: After exploiting the last drops of groundwater, the city is now looking for alternative sources. According to World Bank, the groundwater level in the basin has fallen from 30 metres in the 1970s to around 150 metres in the 1990s. Media Reports speculate that the city may reach Day Zero by 2019.

Nairobi, Kenya: The city is so heavily dependent on groundwater that it plunges into a crisis every time the monsoon plays truant. About 75% Nairobians buy water from the kiosks and pushcart vendors at a higher price – up to 300 times the supply rate – because they are either not covered under the city’s water supply system or do not receive adequate supply. Even though the city started rationing water in 2016, the crisis is likely to continue till 2026.

Istanbul, Turkey: The decline in the water table due to unsustainable extraction ranges from 30-150 metres in some areas. By 2020, the demand-supply gap will reach 607 million cubic metres per year, says a 2015 study.

Sao Paulo, Brazil: In 2015, the city experienced its greatest water crisis in over 80 years. Residents endured 12-hour water cut-offs daily; the licenses that authorize businesses, agricultural enterprises and private entities to draw directly from rivers, reservoirs and artesian wells were suspended. Scientists blame the large-scale felling of rainforests in the Amazon basin as a major cause of drought. Moreover, Sao Paulo loses 30 per cent of its treated supply due to leaks in the piping system.

Karachi, Pakistan: The Karachi Water and Sewerage Board (KWSB) barely meets 50 per cent of the city’s total water requirement, while the city’s population is growing at a rate of 5 per cent per annum. The worsening water crisis has even been the cause of a civil unrest in 2016. However, dearth of water is not the only reason the city is water-stressed, people here also suffer due to lack of sufficient clean and potable water, while outbreaks of water-borne diseases are now a regular feature of the city.

Buenos Aires, Argentina: Dotted with water-bodies and crisscrossed by the La Plata river, the city has no reason to be water-stressed. But unchecked expansion of industrial units, including tanneries, along the shores of the river has polluted it with heavy metal-laced industrial waste. Since 1940, the city has turned to groundwater to meets its growing industrial and private consumption demands. However, according to a WWF report, groundwater at several places in the city is no longer potable.

Kabul, Afghanistan: Bombings have destroyed a large section of supply networks and treatment facilities in this city, where only 20 per cent of residents have access to treated water. While, in Kabul, conflict is the main reason people do not have access to potable water, in many other cities water is leading to more conflicts.

Speaking on the severe water crisis the world is facing, Sunita Narain, director general, CSE, said, “Be it Cape Town, Bengaluru or Chennai, there isn’t much difference between these cities – they are all witnessing a common present. The important question to ask is whether these cities can create and move toward a common future that is water secure because it is water-wise.”

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